Aubrey Clayton is an applied mathematical researcher, lecturer, and writer.

 
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Aubrey is the child of two math teachers and the author of Bernoulli’s Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science.

 

Bio

Aubrey (he/him) teaches graduate courses in the philosophy of probability and has written for publications like the New York Times, Boston Globe, and Nautilus. He technically “worked on Wall Street” but only in the same sense that a hot dog vendor does. He is a parent, a spouse, and a resident of the City of Boston with an Erdős number of three.

He dropped out of high school in Dallas to study math and statistics at The University of Chicago, later receiving a doctorate in mathematics from UC Berkeley in 2008.


P (A | B) = P (A) * P (B | A) / P (B)
— Thomas Bayes

 

“The views expressed are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of his employer, Moody’s Analytics, or its parent company, Moody’s Corporation or its affiliates.”